TITLE OF PAPER: Internet Past and Future URL OF PRESENTATION: _URL_of_powerpoint_presentation_ PRESENTED BY: Vint Cerf, Peter Kirstein and Bob Kahn REPRESENTING: The Internet CONFERENCE: The BBC meets Vint Cerf and Bob Kahn DATE: 18th November 2003 LOCATION: RIBA, 4th Floor ---------------------------------------------------------------------- REAL-TIME NOTES / ANNOTATIONS OF THE PAPER: {If you've contributed, add your name, e-mail & URL at the bottom} http://www.england.isoc.org/ hosting the event We're not here to reflect on the past, but to talk about the future, celebrate the great ideas in which the participants have changed the world. VINT CERF first 30th aniversary of the installation of Arpanet at UCL www.isoc.org/internet/history image of mobile radio using packet switching arpanet was a test of packet switching shortly afterwards packet switching over satellites these three experiments resulting in the creation of the internet, because you had to connect those three together were doing voice-over-IP in the mid 1970s - made everyone sound like a drunken norwegian, so they got a Norwegian to demonstrate it Global statistics - 22.5 million hosts - 171.6 million hosts between 1997 and 2003 / 50 mill users - 600 million users The Power of IP layering of protocols separates applications from mediu of transport (no longer is TV through cable, radio through the air) IP doesn't care what they're carrying or what transpot is used. IPv6 - "used to think that every electron in the universe could have their own webpage" FUTURE LOOK Jet Propulsion Lab - pasadena - to extend the scope of the internet over to the rest of the solar system - Mars is a big project right now. Trying to get the Mars rover. 2009 - NASA hopes to have one orbiter around Mars to provide a communications basis to move information backwards and forwards from the surface of the planet. By the end of the decade - TWO PLANET INTERNET. Expanded planetary communications network. Trying to standardise the communications so it can use the previous communications. Because of standardisation, people can reuse these resources. BOB KAHN Personal comments about how the internet has evolved "It's very clear that this did begin as a research experiment that evolved in ways we were increasingly happy about." they had a free and open track to make progress, unlike their work on libraries now. Strong participation from abroad. The Arpanet built a community - the one constant has been the growth of that community. One of the decisions in moving from 16 bit to 32 bit address space - we thought we'd have more than enough address space to cover everything. "There might be hundreds of computers using the network" more network identifiers than countries - "That's GOT to be enough!" IPv6 'sounds like it's got a lot of IP addresses' - we figure that's enough... but... hybrids - you might want to identify a container with an IP address, but what's inside it could be addressed without IP addressing One of his biggest concerns is that there are too many vested interests in not letting go on what has come before. We must let it evolve. The internet is a composite - but how do you think about the totality. What is the internet? VINT "My cure for Alzheimers is to go out on to the net and do a Google search" QUESTIONS FROM THE FLOOR: What kind of things can you see coming? BOB How can you use wireless - not only connnectivity or Airport/802.11b but also audio feedback and non-keyboard based controls Digital Objects thing Great potential - but tied up in business/legal trappings -> the network itself becomes part of the informational experience itself VINT Things exist like that - Search Engines like Google are a means through which your interaction with information is mediated. So in that sense, the google mechanism is like a layer on top of all the rest of the internet. With regard to wireless is an automobile that's internet enabled that's connected through radio with a local network inside the car. When you come in your various internet enabled tech (PDAs) start talking with each other. So "where's the nearest ATM" could be said to your phone, connect with GPS in your car, thrown onto the net which then goes off to a geo-database, says where it is, gets the IP address of your local computer, the map is sent to your car mapping software. Collusion of internet enabled technologies. Interconnections of devices. BOB Cognitive systems - Cognitive networks would know the answer to some of these things Interesting aspects of locality. Streaming media in the future? VINT You need decent broadband content on the internet first When you get to the point where you can get good quality video and then you go beyond that Disney are simulating things via 'MovieBeam' - broadcasting it over the air. They transmit it six times over a week. Not every subscriber wants to see all the movies. "streaming" is only relevant when you've got a live broadcast - where there's nothing to be stored. I think we're five to ten years away from being able to see good quality video. BOB Not really enough bandwidth but working towards it [note - discussion about what is or what is not the internet - so here's a thing - broadcast stuff to internet aware set-top boxes - what would that be like?] Steps being made to try and segregate broadcast systems from the internet. Are you ever surprised by how people are using the internet? Are there good and bad uses? BOB Yes - there are good and bad. I could argue that fire is dangerous and bad Personally very disappointed by the quantity of spam that's out there Astonished by teh amoutn of pornography and 'wishes it would go away' VINT instant messaging was aamazing people get on conference calls and simultaneously on instant messaging trying to guide the thing by talking to some of the participants instant messaging guys have a switch between different modalities of communication - text - speech - video - collaboration lots of conversation about 'modalities of interaction' ---------------------------------------------------------------------- REFERENCES: {as documents / sites are referenced add them below} ---------------------------------------------------------------------- CONTRIBUTORS: {add your name, e-mail address and URL below} Tom Coates http://www.plasticbag.org ---------------------------------------------------------------------- E-MAIL BOUNCEBACK: {add your e-mail address separated by commas} ---------------------------------------------------------------------- NOTES ON / KEY TO THIS TEMPLATE: A headline (like a field in a database) will be CAPITALISED - This differentiates from the text that follows A variable that you can change will be surrounded by _underscores_ - Spaces in variables are also replaced with under_scores - This allows people to select the whole variable with a simple double-click A tool-tip is lower case and surrounded by {curly brackets} - These supply helpful contextual information. ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Copyright shared between all the participants unless otherwise stated.